![]() Wilkes still has hopes of climbing the MAC ladder and getting the automatic bid. Photo by Matt Milless for D3sports.com |
So here we are again. The typically crazy IIAC has a three-team
tie at the top. Of course, that's child's play compared to the
Empire 8, which has four solid contenders running neck and neck.
The MIAC, meanwhile, might only have two current leaders, but there
are five teams waiting for them both to stumble so they can seize
their chance at the postseason.
Has there ever been a better time for the automatic qualifier
system?
The nation's most intriguing race for a conference title and the
playoff bid that accompanies it is probably in the Middle Atlantic
Conference, where five of the eight teams (Albright, Delaware
Valley, Lebanon Valley, Lycoming and Wilkes) are tied atop the
conference at 2-1, with defending champion Widener a game back,
tied with FDU-Florham, which just sprung a 19-14 upset on the
Aggies, who were ranked 14th at the time.
These races sure look good from afar, but Around the Nation
decided to ask if anyone on the inside was enjoying them as much as
the rest of us.
"Anytime you're heading into the last month of your season playing
meaningful games, at any level, that's exciting," Wilkes coach
Frank Sheptock said.
OK, so Around the Nation cheated a little bit. We asked a coach
whose team lost its first four games yet finds himself in the thick
of a title chase if he's getting a kick out of it. Of course he
is!
"It's fun for us right now," Sheptock said. "It's a new season for
us, it's fresh. Now you're right in the middle of a conference
race."
That's precisely why ATN loves the AQ system. A team can go a
month without winning and still have something to play for. But
better yet, a team can do what Wilkes has done, push itself against
the best opposition it can schedule. Isn't the essence of
competition, after all, the idea of challenging yourself to be the
best you can be?
The Colonels' three non-conference opponents (No. 5 Muhlenberg,
plus Montclair State and Christopher Newport, both receiving top 25
votes) are a combined 15-2. What exactly would make a coach want to
run his team through such a gauntlet?
After making the playoffs in 2005 and 2006, first as an 8-2 Pool C
team, then as a 10-0 No. 1 seed, three teams left the MAC to join
other conferences. Instead of nine conference games a year, Wilkes
was left with seven, and some decisions to make."I definitely think
when everything occurred with the league and losing some teams, it
was our belief that for our program to move forward, we had to play
the toughest opponents we possibly could," Sheptock said.
"Hopefully it prepares [us] for some of the situations [we]
encounter in later in the MAC schedule."
In 2007, Wilkes played three NJAC teams, including Rowan and
Montclair State. Widener also played Rowan last season, along with
North Carolina Wesleyan and Wesley. Sheptock cited the Pride as "a
great example" of the schedule-strong theory at work.
"They were 1-2 out of the chute before running the table in the
MAC," he recalled. "[The AQ system] allows a program to challenge
itself without giving up its opportunity to play its way into the
playoffs."
Although Sheptock figured his team would get more out of tough
games than easy wins, non-conference scheduling has been rougher
than planned. Wilkes is 0-6 the past two seasons.
"Our record in non-conference games the last two years is not very
good," Sheptock said. "But they've been great games, especially for
putting kids in situations they'll encounter later. The atmosphere
is great. And when you get to the playoffs and play against a
traditional power, you know you have to keep your level of play up
because you've experienced it."
The experience might be beginning to pay for the Colonels, who are
2-4 against opponents who are 26-9, and have been outscored by just
four points, 123-119. Consecutive wins against FDU-Florham and
Lycoming – in which Sheptock said some of the situations that
his players had to battle in tight games against Montclair State
and Christopher Newport came up again – have Wilkes at 2-1 in
MAC play, alongside four teams that are 4-2 overall.
"The parity, I don't know if it's good for [the MAC] on a national
level, to have a bunch of 2-1 teams," Sheptock said. However, he
referenced Delaware Valley's two top 25 wins, and acknowledged that
the non-conference competition probably had a hand in toughening up
all the MAC teams.
"A five-way tie is really interesting," he said. "And lot of the
teams involved still have to play each other. So it's going to make
for a heck of a last month of the season."
For anyone scoring at home, here are the head-to-head games among
the top 5 MAC teams in the final four weeks:
Week 8
Delaware Valley at Lycoming
Wilkes at Albright
After this, if Lebanon Valley beats King's, the MAC will be down
to a three-way tie up top. And with FDU-Florham and Widener
playing, one of the second-place teams will really be reduced to
spoiler.
Week 9
Albright at Lebanon Valley
Week 10
Delaware Valley at Wilkes
Week 11
Lebanon Valley at Lycoming
Albright at Delaware Valley
In case you only pay attention to your favorite team's conference,
here's a brief look at everything, from a national perspective.
ATN, while acknowledging that surprises do occur, breaks the
conference races down into three categories:
CLEAR FRONT-RUNNERS
Conferences whose leaders have already played their closest
competitors and would have to stumble badly to miss out on the
title:
ASC, Mary Hardin-Baylor
CC, Muhlenberg
MWC, Monmouth
NJAC, Cortland State
UMAC, Northwestern (Minn.) (no automatic bid, must face No. 2 team
in Dome Day for title)
HEAD-TO-HEAD CLASH SHOULD SETTLE IT
Conferences where the likely champion will emerge from one game
between front-runners:
ACFC, Wesley at Salisbury, Week 9 (Nov. 1, no automatic bid)
CCIW, North Central at Wheaton, Week 8 (Oct. 25)
HCAC, Rose-Hulman at Franklin, Week 9
MIAA, Trine at Adrian, Week 10 (Nov. 8)
MIAC, Carleton at Concordia-Moorhead, Week 10
NWC, Willamette at Linfield, Week 8
NEFC, Curry at Plymouth State, Week 8 (winner is the likely
favorite in Week 11 NEFC title game)
NESCAC, Amherst at Trinity (Conn.), Week 9 (no playoffs)
ODAC, Catholic at Hampden-Sydney, Week 8
SCAC, Millsaps at Trinity (Texas), Week 9
SLIAC, Huntingdon at LaGrange, Week 11 (Nov. 15, no automatic
bid)
WE'VE GOT PROBLEMS
Conferences where three or more teams are still very much in the
running:
Empire 8: Alfred, Ithaca, Hartwick and St. John Fisher
IIAC: Wartburg, Buena Vista and Luther
LL: RPI, WPI and Hobart
MAC: Weren't you paying attention earlier?
NATHC: Aurora, Concordia (Wis.), Lakeland, Wisconsin Lutheran
NCAC: Wabash, Wittenberg, Wooster
OAC: Mount Union, Otterbein and John Carroll
PAC: Thomas More, Washington & Jefferson and Waynesburg
SCIAC: Cal Lutheran, Occidental and Redlands
UAA: Conference play takes place in Weeks 9-11 (no automatic
bid)
USAC: Christopher Newport, Ferrum and N.C. Wesleyan
WIAC: UW-Whitewater, UW-Stevens Point and UW-River Falls
Four ranked teams lost in Week 7, including three in the top 15,
so major movement had to take place. The question was how far to
move UW-Eau Claire (No. 7 last week), Capital (No. 9) and Delaware
Valley (No. 14), if to continue voting for them at all.
All three remained ranked, coming in between Nos. 17 and 22.
It's a mild surprise. D3football.com voters have traditionally
been forgiving when a team loses to another ranked team, especially
one ranked higher. Of the eight ranked teams with a loss in the
Week 6 poll, all but two of the losses were to other teams in the
ranking. Another was to a team ranked at the time of the game
(Ithaca, which lost to then-No. 11 St. John Fisher) and the other
was against a I-AA team.
But Week 7's poll showed that voters were forgiving to highly
ranked teams, even if they picked up their second loss. The three
teams in question each lost to unranked teams.
Delaware Valley has wins against No. 11 Wesley and No. 15
Salisbury, and its previous loss was to I-AA Iona. Capital's losses
are to No. 1 Mount Union and John Carroll, which is two spots from
cracking the poll. UW-Eau Claire's first loss was by two points to
No. 2 UW-Whitewater.
Although you can make sense of the poll, not everything in it will
make sense. Some things aren't easily reconciled.
For instance, not only is Delaware Valley ranked behind two teams
it beat, but Iona (which lost to Wesley) helps form a classic
three-team triangle.
One can argue that neither Salisbury or Wesley, both of whom lost
in Doylestown, would lose to FDU-Florham. Or a voter can give
greater weight to more recent results.
How then to explain Capital's No. 21 and John Carroll's equivalent
of 27, though the Blue Streaks just last Saturday forced nine
turnovers and beat the Crusaders 13-3?
And don't even attempt to make sense of Ithaca, Hartwick and St.
John Fisher's 1-1 record against each other, including a Bombers
blowout of the Hawks and a Cardinals smackdown of the Bombers.
Because if you were really feeling ambitious, you could use the
trio's games against Lycoming, Mount Union and Salisbury to gauge
the relative strength of all the teams involved, if only you could
make any sense of any of it. Then of course there's conference mate
Alfred, which lost 24-19 at Hartwick and hosts Ithaca and St. John
Fisher in Weeks 10 and 11.
The bottom line is sometimes the more we know, the less we can
tell. Take your trusty D3football.com poll with a grain of salt
boys and girls. It is, after all, only 25 people's best estimation
of the "best" teams in Division III so far.
Whatever "best" means.
Does this week's top 25 make sense? Got gripes? Join the
discussion on the top 25 thread on Post
Patterns.
An envelope arrived this week at ATN headquarters marked
Jostens. That can only mean one thing, your Gagliardi Trophy
finalists are in!
Well, not quite. I wasn't the only one to foolishly get ahead of
myself. I got a message asking which of Mount Union's standouts,
quarterback Greg Micheli or running back Nate Kmic, was nominated.
The Gagliardi Trophy Committee accepts only one nominee per
school.
And since no other player immediately comes to mind as a likely
Gagliardi winner, it means that Larry Kehres and Mount Union
president Dr. Richard F. Giese more or less have the power to
choose this year's winner. Which is both a gift and a curse, come
to think of it. Both student-athletes are pretty deserving.
Of course, I'm getting further ahead of myself than when I thought
there'd actually be nominees in that envelope. As if I haven't done
this before.
Nominations are open until Nov. 19. Ten finalists should be
announced about a week later, and that number will be narrowed to
four regional finalists in mid-December. The winner is introduced
Dec. 18 in Salem, two days before the Stagg Bowl.
The Daily Dose laments the absence of the Aztec Bowl, at least
for 2008.
While the Aztec Bowl was likely a wonderful experience, especially
the trip to Mexico, it often got lost in the shadow of the Stagg
Bowl, usually played on the same day.
And the idea of a Division III-only all-star game sounds good on
the surface, but is it really wise to stage an all-star game after
the national championship, and six weeks after the regular season
ends? We've seen how well that works for the NFL's Pro Bowl.
Let's be honest, Division III fans, are we really going to pack up
and support a game in Orlando? What's the point of flying all that
distance and playing in a cavernous stadium that the parents of the
all-stars have no chance of filling?
It might make more sense to stage a Division III all-star game in
a place with a built-in audience. Say … Collegeville, Minn.?
Throw a few Johnnies on the Good guys' team and a few Tommies and
Royals on the bad guys, and you've got instantly manufactured
drama, plus a crowd. You'll need to pack parkas, and you won't be
able to take the kids to Disney, but I hear the Mall of America in
Bloomington has a roller coaster!
Maybe Capital could host the game, since publisher Pat Coleman has
loosely appointed Columbus, Ohio, as the geographic center of
Division III. (Pat also suggests Division III should take on an
NAIA all-star team.)
Maybe Coppell, Texas, which applied to host the Stagg Bowl, wants
in again. That should cover the warm weather requirement.
But the winning idea is to play the game in Salem in conjunction
with the Stagg Bowl, perhaps the day before. Any ticket purchased
gets a fan into both games, and it provides a mixed crowd of
all-stars and their families the chance to see Division III
football (and hospitality) at its very best. The ten Gagliardi
Trophy finalists and four regional finalists would all likely be on
the all-star teams, and therefore be on hand for the presentation.
Media covering the Stagg Bowl would be in the house for the
all-star game and vice versa. Surely, too, it would be more
cost-effective to stage a game where there already would be one.
The game officials, usually from a neutral Division III conference,
might even get some practice with the instant replay system, which
is currently used at our level for the Stagg Bowl only.
Of course, it's easy to suggest some random somebody fund and
stage this game. So put Around the Nation on the record offering to
select the teams for the game (they'd look a lot like a
pre-playoffs seniors-only version of the D3football.com All-Region
and all-American teams) and donating the first $5 to the cause.
(What? We're in an economic crisis here!) I'll even offer to set up
a mandatory D3football.com Study Hall so NESCAC players can
participate.
Think about it. The best of the best, not in some random city with
no connection to Division III. If we're going to do the game, let's
do it right and put it somewhere where the D3 die-hards can turn it
into a big-game atmosphere. Oh yeah, one can only hope there'd be
enough hotel rooms in the Roanoke Valley.
Before you get all excited about the Division III playoff
selection committee's first set of regional rankings, due this
week, remind yourself what exactly those rankings are for.
Don't be ashamed. I need the playoff criteria refresher myself
each year. Since 23 of the 32 playoff spots are determined
automatically by the champions of Pool A conferences, the criteria listed
here is used to select the three Pool B (independents and
non-AQ conferences) and six Pool C (at-large) teams.
For general questions about the playoffs, try these
answers.
Now that you're up to speed again on what Pool B actually is, a
weekly look at the picture would be in order. Except really not
much has changed from last week. Case Western Reserve, if it
remains unbeaten, and maybe even if it doesn't, looks like a good
bet. The Wesley/Salisbury winner could get a bid, but the loser
might not. A one-loss SLIAC champion might nab the third bid, which
Northwestern (Minn.) perhaps battling for a spot.
To follow the latest speculation on Pool B scenarios, visit the
corresponding thread on Post Patterns.
I count 13 games with significant implications on one conference
race or another, and I think I mentioned them all in Monday's
podcast. That's part of the reason it's so long (yet
super-informative!) Three conferences spotlight clashes for the top
spot this week. Winners in the CCIW, NWC and NEFC Boyd will clear a
path for a championship.
UW-Stevens Point (5-1, 2-1 WIAC) at No. 2 UW-Whitewater
(6-0, 3-0): Four of the Pointers' six games have been
decided by six points or less, but there's a good chance this one
won't resemble any of those. If UW-SP pulls an upset, suddenly
UW-River Falls (beat the Pointers 36-30 in Week 5) has a chance at
a three-way tie with Stevens Point and Whitewater (a 52-24 victor
against the Falcons in Week 6).
No. 7 North Central (6-0, 3-0 CCIW) at No. 4 Wheaton (6-0,
3-0): A matchup of undefeated top 10 teams, with the
Little Brass Bell at stake? Game of the week, easy. The Cardinals
boast the nation's No. 8 scoring defense (No. 14 by yards, and No.
9 against the run) and the best net punting average (38.44 yards).
Wheaton has balance on offense (195 rushing, 219 passing yards per
game) and a dangerous punt returner in Pete Ittersagen.
No. 16 Willamette (7-0, 3-0 NWC) at No. 23 Linfield (4-1,
3-0): With a conference title basically on the line, the
Bearcats' fly offense needs to click as it has so far this season.
Willamette averages 42 and 378 yards per game, including 264
rushing. So of course the Wildcats feature the nation's No. 3 total
defense (224 yards per), and plenty of experience against
Williamette's unique offensive look.
No. 19 Otterbein (6-0, 5-0 OAC) at No. 21 Capital (4-2,
3-2) : OAC outsiders must be getting tired of the
race-to-finish-second-to-Mount Union, but since it traditionally
means a playoff spot, we cover it like it's almost it's own
conference. The Cardinals are averaging 41.5 points per game and
surrendering 12.8, but the Crusaders begin a very tough four-game
stretch: Mount Union and John Carroll are also ahead.
Curry (7-0, 4-0 NEFC Boyd) at Plymouth State (6-1,
4-0): Tom Haley is all over this on in Around the East,
but in case you're not a regular reader, it's simple: If the
Panthers – the only NEFC team besides Curry with few than
three losses – can't stop the Colonels, it's time to pencil
the purple into the playoffs yet again.
Also keep an eye on: Wooster at No. 6 Wabash, Catholic at No. 18
Hampden-Sydney, Augsburg at Gustavus Adolphus, Carleton at St.
Thomas, Franklin at Mount St. Joseph, Delaware Valley at Lycoming,
Wilkes at Albright, Huntingdon at Westminster (Mo.)
Check Friday morning's Daily Dose for Pat, Keith and Gordon Mann's
‘Triple Take' primer on Week 8 games.
It's all NAIA this week where non-Division III competition is
concerned.
vs. Division I, FCS (0-0 in Week 7, 4-5 in 2008)
None
vs. Division II (1-0 in Week 7, 3-5 in 2008)
None
vs. NAIA (0-1 in Week 7, 24-11 in 2008)
No. 3 Mary Hardin-Baylor at Southern Oregon
No. 11 Wesley at Webber International
Waldorf at Buena Vista
Minot State-Bottineau at Crown
Trinity Bible at St. Scholastica. A chance for the first-year
Saints to get their first win. The Lions are 0-2 against Division
III teams this season.
On a personal note, I'll be at Randolph-Macon for a homecoming day
grudge match against Frostburg State. It might not be a powerhouse
clash, but I'm going for the 10th reunion anyway. Good Lord, I'm
old.
Reader feedback on last week's discussion of best Division III
stadiums and atmospheres was tremendous. And to add our two cents,
a handful of D3football.com staff members share their
thoughts.
Also, need readers' help on compiling year-in-review sports
moments as you find them. Post on our Post Patterns thread.
General feedback is always welcome.
Around the Nation and keeps a running board on Post Patterns
(under general football) to discuss issues raised in the column,
and we'll share feedback and answer questions there. E-mail
correspondence can be directed to Keith@D3football.com or submitted
with our feedback form.
Sports Information Directors: Around the Nation is interested in
contacting Division III's all-time and single-season leading
rushers and passers to ask them one brief question for a future
column. Any help you can provide in reaching them would be
appreciated.
Sports Information Directors: To contact Keith McMillan, use
Keith@D3football.com, or snail mail to D3football.com, 13055
Carolyn Forest Dr., Woodbridge, Va., 22192.