Blaine Hawkins and the Central offense have rolled up the yards all season. Can Wartburg keep the Dutch in check the way it did to Gustavus Adolphus? Central athletics photo by Dan L. Vander Beek Photography |
All 28 conferences will be playing conference games this weekend. The Liberty League, Southern Athletic Association, and Commonwealth Coast Conference are all opening with a bang tomorrow. Our crew is also watching out for a WIAC upset as our No. 1 ranked conference also opens conference play. Those games and more in this week's bite-sized primer for Week 5.
Our regular Quick Hits crew is Greg Thomas, Pat Coleman, Ryan Tipps, Adam Turer, Frank Rossi, plus a guest. This week we rolled out the red carpet for three-time NCAA football champion Adam Irgang. Adam was a standout tight end at Mount Union from 1997-2000 and with Adam on board, the number of Quick Hits panelists that have caught touchdown passes in Stagg Bowls is up to one.
— Greg Thomas
Which game is the Game of the Week?
Greg's take: Wartburg at No. 13 Central. The Dutch come in riding a Stat of the Week offensive wave after hanging 84 on Simpson. Wartburg is in playoff mode after their Week 2 loss at Gustavus Adolphus. A second loss for the Knights likely sends their playoff hopes up the (American) river. | |
Pat's take: No. 6 St. John's at Concordia-Moorhead. A number of these games have been exciting, down to the last minute, and occasionally even a potential upset, and the new Con Air offense could keep the Johnnies on their toes long enough to make this interesting. | |
Adam's take: No. 21 Hobart at No. 17 Ithaca. The only meeting of ranked opponents features rivals from one of the most top-heavy conferences through the season's first half. | |
Ryan's take: Wartburg at No. 13 Central. In the preseason, I had every expectation that this would be a game of undefeateds -- but the Knights slipped up in Week 2. This may not be the formal rivalry for each of these schools, but it'll play like one. | |
Frank's take: No. 21 Hobart at No. 17 Ithaca. With the Liberty League grabbing so much attention nationally with four undefeated teams, this conference matchup will begin solving the puzzle and will begin to determine whether the LL gets a Pool C bid. | |
Adam's take: I’m gonna pass on the obvious choice in the upstate NY battle and go to East Penn and choose No. 25 Susquehanna on the road at Ursinus. |
Which Top 25 team is most likely to be upset?
Greg's take: No. 16 Bethel. The Royals have to bounce back quickly after last week's tough loss at St. John's. The Gusties offense has been quite good -- whether the quarterback is going to be Michael Veldman or Jake Breitbach, the winner of the Royal Crown Rivalry may well be decided on whether or not Bethel has an answer for the Gusties' Swiss Swedish army knife, Dalton Thelan. | |
Pat's take: No. 8 UW-Oshkosh. The Titans' track record is a little spotty so far in 2021, with a close win on a long road trip to Huntingdon and a win against a below-average D-II program (Northern Michigan, nonetheless 2-2 this year). Platteville is at home, and they're 1-2 but one of those losses is to Bethel and I think Platteville is probably better than their results have shown so far. This is always a contrast in styles, so perhaps the offensive-minded Pioneers come through this time. | |
Adam's take: No. 13 Central. The Knights and Dutch have been the powers of the ARC (and its previous iteration, the IIAC). Wartburg is in must-win mode after its non-conference loss in Week 2. | |
Ryan's take: No. 8 UW-Oshkosh. The Titans are probably ranked as high as they are right now based on pedigree rather than 2021 performance. | |
Frank's take: No. 16 Bethel (vs. Gustavus Adolphus). The Gusties might be catching Bethel at the right time, after Bethel’s try to come back at St. John’s fell short. I think the Gusties start strong and hold off a late Bethel surge. | |
Adam's take: This is a tough one, but I’m gonna go with No. 16 Bethel. I think they let down a bit after last week's loss and the Gusties come out on top. |
Which of the Division's top 5 passing yard leaders will throw for the most yards on Saturday?
Greg's take: I'm betting (figuratively!) against storms in Mequon, Wisconsin, this weekend and going with Rockford's Jaelen Ray. I like the NACC's penchant for shootouts and how a potential track meet vs. Concordia (Wis.) feeds another monster statistical day from Ray. | |
Pat's take: Jaelen Ray, Rockford. I see this question as, "which of the Division's top 5 passing yard leaders will stay in the game longest on Saturday" and I think that the game between Rockford and Concordia (Wis.) will be the most competitive of the five. | |
Adam's take: Braxton Plunk, and he'll do it in just three quarters of play. | |
Ryan's take: Averett's Bryce Jackson. With three really good targets and an N.C. Wesleyan team that gives up yards through the air, this weekend looks solid for Jackson. | |
Frank's take: Ryan Stevens, only because he is likely to stay in the game a bit longer against F&M than Plunk is against Otterbein. | |
Adam's take: I got Ryan Stevens. He’s hot right now and JHU likes to put points on the board. |
Which game are you following that no one else on the panel is following?
Greg's take: Brockport at St. John Fisher. Yes, this is an important Empire 8 game, but this is also Courage Bowl XVI. The Courage Bowl raises awareness and funds for Camp Good Days, an organization that provides programming and support for children and families affected by cancer and sickle cell anemia. It's a tremendous event and we love to see Division III programs giving back to the community like this. | |
Pat's take: Buena Vista at Dubuque. I expect this could be another high-scoring shootout that will be fun to follow. | |
Adam's take: Washington and Lee at Hampden-Sydney. After a thrilling finish to upset Randolph-Macon, will my Generals post another huge road win to stay unbeaten atop the ODAC? The Tigers are the only other team to open 2-0 in conference play. | |
Ryan's take: Marietta at Ohio Northern. When was the last time Marietta came to mind when you were thinking about the top of the OAC standings? | |
Frank's take: Salve Regina at Western New England. This game will help prove exactly where Salve is, as they enter the game 4-0. Western New England might be one of the best 2-2 teams in the New England area, with a really strong schedule leading to the losses. This is a great CCC matchup. | |
Adam's take: Hendrix at Centre. First game of conference play and Hendrix has a chance to turn their season around after a rough 1-2 start. |
Which 0-4 team will get off the schneid?
Greg's take: Keystone. Maybe a little history on the horizon for Keystone in their ECFC opener. Anna Maria is coming off a dramatic win at the Coast Guard Academy, but Keystone's challenging September has the Giants ready to compete in the ECFC. | |
Pat's take: Maryville (vs. Southern Virginia). Assuming there will be lots of picks for Northwestern vs. Finlandia, but I would like to suggest another possibility. | |
Adam's take: Northwestern (Minn.). The Eagles host Finlandia, which hasn't won a game since 2017. | |
Ryan's take: Maryville. There aren't many good opportunities, but both Maryville and opponent 1-3 Southern Virginia have played pretty on par this season. The Scots have a shot. | |
Frank's take: Alvernia (at King’s). The Golden Wolves have struggled for sure this season, but they’ve proven to be unpredictable in their short past. I think this might be their Saturday to get a little momentum. | |
Adam's take: Northwestern (Minn.). They face Finalndia this week who hasn’t won a game in a few years. |
Which undefeated team will win this week and move into Sunday's Top 25?
Greg's take: Trinity (Texas). The Tigers have been impressive in their two outings so far. A dominant win at Berry would make Jerheme Urban's squad worthy of a ranking. | |
Pat's take: I don't mean to be disrespectful to the question, but I don't see this combination of things happening this week. | |
Adam's take: Wabash. If the Little Giants beat Denison on the road, they should be in (over the two potentially unbeaten SAA teams who face inferior competition this week). | |
Ryan's take: Wabash. I always feel like the homer making a pick like this, but 3-1 Denison is an opponent that would give the Little Giants some oomph into the poll. | |
Frank's take: RPI. With someone probably dropping out between Hobart and Ithaca, and with RPI likely beating Rochester, the LL gets a third team back with RPI, I believe. | |
Adam's take: Wabash. They are a perennial top 25 team and by beating a tough Denison team on the road could garner a few more top 25 votes. |
Got picks? Put them in the comments!