Let’s just come to grips with it now.
Mount Union vs. UW-Whitewater, Stagg Bowl XXXVII, Dec. 19. Get
used to how that sounds.
Barring multiple regular-season upsets, or a shocking set of
brackets from the playoff selection committee, it’s all but a
foregone conclusion. Last year’s championship game
participants have 17 and 21 starters back, respectively.
For the 99.2 percent of us who aren’t Purple Raiders or
Warhawks, a fifth consecutive Stagg Bowl featuring the same teams
sounds about as exciting as washing players’ socks after
practice.
I’m not out to crush your dreams, or those of your favorite
program. A surprise would be nice. And in reality, each Division
III season is full of surprises, if we just peel back a layer.
Those who would find themselves complaining by Stagg Bowl week
about the sameness of it all have perhaps been focused on the wrong
thing. So as we look at 2009, why aren’t we asking
who’ll finish Nos. 3 and 4?
It sounds like total heresy to everyone trained in the
win-or-it-was-a-failure ways. And certainly even Mount Union and
UW-Whitewater don’t want to just assume they’ll be in
Salem, lest we fail to recognize how hard it is to get there. But
as they’ve made chopping through four rounds of playoff
contenders while also finishing up the fall semester look routine,
looking at the other national semifinalists are the easiest way to
tell the seasons apart.
Mary Hardin-Baylor has done the No. 3 honors the past two seasons,
with South Region rival Wesley handling the role the two seasons
prior. With regard to the fourth team in the mix, we can almost
refer to them as The Rowan Year, The St. John Fisher Year, the
Bethel Year and the Wheaton Year.
Phrased like that, it brings back memories of the way all four of
those teams went out against Mount Union, while the South Region
champion gets stuck with the Warhawks. (Even in ’05 when
Mount Union lost a regular season game and ’07 and ’08
when UW-Whitewater did, the purple powerhouses have not ended up in
a bracket that would have them meet in the semifinals.)
The Profs were one of the highlights of the ’05 playoffs,
beating Union 28-24 and Delaware Valley 27-21 before losing 19-7 at
Mount Union. The Profs kept on winning close ones into the
’06 playoffs, until an unceremonious 31-0 ousting at the
hands of St. John Fisher. The Cardinals captured everyone’s
attention with a 26-14 loss at Mount Union in the ’06
semifinals, a game that was 17-14 just prior to the fourth quarter
before Nate Kmic rushed for the last of his 371 yards to put the
game away.
Bethel beat Central in the Iowa snow in ’07 for the right to
go to Alliance, Ohio. In ’08, Wheaton beat the
tournament’s other darlings, Franklin, for the same
privilege.
Here’s what this brief history lesson is getting at: People
do remember more than just who finished first. Especially
if you were there for dramatic finishes spurred on by seniors out
to extend their careers another week and buy fans a bonus week of
travel and tailgating.
Even if the last two standing are same ol’ same ol’,
there’s plenty to play for in Division III. Games in front of
their home crowd or yours beat going to a one-and-done bowl in some
outpost where nobody follows your team. And players’
competitive cravings are met by knowing exactly where they stack up
against the best.
With such a variance in athletic department budgets (see the
feature story in Kickoff ’09), institutional commitment to
football, number of full-time coaching positions and proximity to
Division III opponents, it’s a wonder we’ve got as
competitive a postseason as we do.
Sustained dominance, as you’ll see below, is quite rare.
Instead, a lot of the really fun-to-follow playoff runs come from
teams who have hovered around the playoffs for years, but had never
really made their marks. Occasionally, we’ll get a Franklin
– defeated in 2007 on a last-second TD pass against North
Central – making an unprecedented foray.
Across Division III, skim a handful of the best teams off the top
and a few handfuls of the least-competitive off the bottom, and
what we’re left with is several dozen teams who aren’t
all that different. A deep and experienced group of upperclassmen,
one or two special talents and good fortune when it comes to
injuries might be just the recipe for a Franklin-like breeze
through a bracket.
In other words, there’s not much reason why the team you
follow can’t be this year’s Franklin, if not St. John
Fisher, Bethel or Wheaton.
So kick back and enjoy the season. Even if it turns out that all
we’re competing for is a chance to be mentioned alongside
Purple Raiders and Warhawks, it should still be a blast.
Don’t forget to enjoy every minute of it.
Although Thursday’s kickoffs signify the start of our 11th
season covering Division III football, D3football.com celebrated
its 10th
anniversary in July. In recognition of that, Around the Nation
will feature a top 10 list in each column this season.
ATN has brainstormed everything from the standard (memorable
moments, upsets, plays) to the outside-the-box (low points,
improvements in the game and rivalries measured by
significance).
Still, there’s room for you to chime in. ATN’s lists
aren’t necessarily meant to be the final word on any of the
topics. ATN will open the floor for discussion both before and
after a Ten Best is published (and as you can see, they won’t
all be ten “best”), and we can discuss each one as long
as it has legs. React to this week’s list, make submissions
for the coming week’s list or come up with new categories
altogether, for use in a future ATN.
Next week: Ten Guys We Didn’t Envy.
(Coaches & players who were put in tough spots)
Share your feedback on our message board, Post Patterns, on the
Around the Nation thread under general football. You can also send
e-mail to Keith@D3football.com or use our feedback form.
Here’s this week’s Ten Best:
Ten Most Successful Teams of the D3football.com
Era
We’re celebrating a stretch of time that’s run
concurrent with playoff expansion -- from 16 to 28 teams in 1999,
and adding four more for the 2005 postseason – so it seems
prudent to heavily figure success in the playoffs (as opposed to
just conference-based, regular-season success) into the
equation.
10. Trinity (Conn.)
Record since 1999: 65-15 (.813)
Stagg Bowls/wins: n/a
The Bantams’ winning percentage fits in among the group
here. But if you subtract the 13-11 record from 1999 to 2001,
it’s downright Mount Union-esque. At 52-4 (.929) since the
start of the 2002 season, with four undefeated seasons to its
credit, Trinity can claim to be the second-most dominant program in
Division III. The problem ranking their run is the NESCAC’s
eight-game schedule and prohibition on non-conference or playoff
games. We’ll never know how the Bantams would have stacked up
against the nation’s best at the height of their run, so the
numbers must speak for themselves. Those numbers, unfortunately,
include zero postseason wins and Stagg Bowl appearances.
9. Wheaton
Record since 1999: 89-23 (.795)
Stagg Bowls/wins: Zero
The Thunder haven’t been to Salem, but they’ve
sustained success in the CCIW, which features 76-win Augustana and
68-win North Central among its members. Wheaton has five seasons of
at least 10 wins, plus one final four and one final eight
appearance to its credit. But its trump card is its 9-6 all-time
playoff record. Finally put in a bracket without Mount Union last
season, Wheaton won the regional championship and still ended up
losing in the semifinals to the Purple Raiders, who have ended all
of Wheaton’s treks into the playoffs, including five in the
D3.com era. The Thunder is unbeaten in the playoffs against anyone
else.
8. Pacific Lutheran
Record since 1999: 64-35 (.647)
Stagg Bowls/wins: One/One
Despite having fallen on hard times since legendary coach Frosty
Westering retired, the Lutes still make our list for one reason:
Championship. In an era when Mount Union has hogged them, anyone
who’s won it should be on here. PLU was more than a
one-season wonder, pushing St. John’s to overtime during its
2000 Stagg Bowl run and beating Whitworth and Central in overtime
before a loss to St. John’s in 2001. The Lutes gave way to
Linfield in 2002 and haven’t been back to the playoffs since.
Teams who missed the top 10 by a lot, like Occidental (71-28, .717)
and Hobart (77-26, .748), have more wins over the past decade, not
just ones who barely missed, like Trinity, Texas (96-19, .835) and
Washington & Jefferson (108-19, .850). So which should be
valued more, sustained excellence over the full 10 years, or one
season of true magic and a couple of decent ones on the slide
down?
7. Bridgewater (Va.)
Record since 1999: 87-27 (.763)
Stagg Bowls/wins: One/Zero
Before the South Region became the sole territory of Wesley and
Mary Hardin-Baylor, it was a three-team race almost every season.
Games between W&J, Trinity and Bridgewater came down to the
wire, and were among the playoffs’ most entertaining. In the
era, the Presidents have two appearances in the final eight, while
the Tigers and Eagles have each gone to two final fours and a Stagg
Bowl. The Eagles bowed out in the final eight in two other seasons,
compared to one for Trinity, and were much more competitive (30-27)
in their Stagg Bowl loss to Mount Union in 2001 than Trinity was in
2002 (48-7). Plus, between 2000 and ’07, the Eagles were
78-16 (.830).
6. Rowan
Record since 1999: 89-26 (.774)
Stagg Bowls/wins: One/Zero
If we were considering the entire Salem era, we could add four
more Stagg Bowls and a final four to the Profs’ tally. But
even as they’ve given way to other national powerhouses, they
haven’t exactly fallen on hard times – a 4-6 2007
aside. Rowan won a regional championship and made the accompanying
final four appearance four times between 1999 and 2005. They
haven’t been back to Salem since the 1999 PLU rout, though
they were a clock operator’s error from going in 2001. But
they had deep runs in ’04 and ’05 stopped by the
eventual champion. The Profs’ overall record over the 10
years is a bit misleading, considering both the six-loss season and
the fact that prior to the NJAC being big enough to fill out a
10-game schedule, Rowan would take games against
scholarship-providing teams (Albany, Millersville, S. Conn. State)
from other divisions.
5. Mary Hardin-Baylor
Record since 1999: 97-21 (.822)
Stagg Bowls/wins: One/Zero
The Crusaders captured the attention of Division III observers in
2004 by going to Mount Union, sticking to its ground-based attack
while facing a double-digit fourth quarter deficit, and winning.
The Cru lost the Stagg Bowl the following week, but have won at
least a game in every playoffs since. For a former women’s
college that debuted football in 1998, Texas-based UMHB has quickly
become a national power. They boast five 10-or-more-win seasons
since 2002 and consecutive semifinal appearances. While they
currently look like the country’s third most-dominant
program, their resume would be a lot stronger with a Salem victory
on it.
4. Linfield
Record since 1999: 84-18 (.824)
Stagg Bowls/wins: One/One
The Wildcats last played a playoff game in 2005 against
then-upstart UW-Whitewater and are coming off of three consecutive
6-3 seasons. Yet they were at least a round of eight team from
’02 to ’05, their overall winning percentage still
stands out and they have one of the era’s championships that
Mount Union doesn’t. Linfield didn’t have to beat the
Purple Raiders for their title, but they’ve defeated both
Rowan and UMHB deep in the postseason. Brett Elliott, a Utah
transfer who once started over the 49ers’ Alex Smith, led the
way in 2004 with a 61-touchdown pass season. He helped, but the
Wildcats – a No. 1 seed in the 2000 playoffs -- were good
before Elliott got there. You might have heard. Their last losing
season came 43 years before there was a D3football.com. Or any
.com. Or D-III football.
3. UW-Whitewater
Record since 1999: 87-33 (.725)
Stagg Bowls/wins: Four/One
Even though the overall 10-season record doesn’t match
others on the list, and their previous playoff appearance before
the 2005 Stagg Bowl run was 1997, few would argue with where the
Warhawks are now. The program’s been built to where the coach
changes and star players graduate, and the team returns to the
championship game anyway. They’ve made more appearances in
Salem over four years than anyone but Mount Union has in all 10,
and they’ve gone toe-to-toe with the giant each time, slaying
it once. With 21 starters back, it doesn’t look like the
Warhawks will fall back in ’09 either.
2. St. John’s
Record since 1999: 108-20 (.844)
Stagg Bowls/wins: Two/One
Like Whitewater, the Johnnies have had the misfortune of playing
Mount Union in both trips to Salem, but with a 24-6 win in
’03 and a 10-7 loss in ’00, that ends up proving the
Johnnies’ strength. Nobody but the Purple Raiders has won
more games over this stretch, and the big difference between 108
wins over this period by St. John’s and the same number by
Washington and Jefferson is what the Johnnies were able to do in
the postseason. Making the field in all but ‘04, St.
John’s won at least one game in each postseason trip, except
in ’08, when they drew Whitewater in the first round.
They’ve been among the final eight six times in the era, and
were at least a regional champion/final four team from ’00 to
03. (W&J, by contrast, has not been among the final four since
1995). The Johnnies also play in one of the nation’s better
conferences, and have lost nine MIAC games in 10 seasons.
1. Mount Union
Record since 1999 (including postseason): 137-5
(.965)
Stagg Bowls/wins: 8/6
A no-brainer, sure. The details are preposterous. The Purple
Raiders have gone 89-1 in a conference that is anything but a
pushover, winning all 10 OAC titles. They’ve been in every
final four since we started, so consistent that we stopped going to
Alliance to cover regular season games, knowing there’d be
opportunities later. But perhaps what puts the crown on the whole
thing is that we can count their losses on one hand. There have
been more Walnut-and-Bronze hoistings than there have been defeats.
We can name the teams that beat them, off the top of our heads:
Rowan at Alliance, ’99. St. John’s in the Stagg Bowl in
’03. Mary Hardin-Baylor at Alliance in ’04. Ohio
Northern in the regular season at Alliance in ’05.
UW-Whitewater in the Stagg Bowl in ’07. Not much, but just
enough to keep things interesting.
Honorable mention, with records if not mentioned above: W&J;
Trinity (Texas); Hardin-Simmons (89-19, .824); Curry (91-22, .805);
Central (87-24, .784); Wittenberg (85-26, .766); Wabash (84-26,
.764); Wesley (85-27, .759); Ithaca (83-28, .748).
Our preseason preview, Kickoff
’09, has been out a little over a week now, but if
you’re just joining us, here are a few things that look
different since last season ended:
Colorado College, Blackburn and Principia dropped (or suspended)
their programs.
Castleton State and Anna Maria will put teams on the field for the
first time this season. Presentation (S.D.), Stevenson (Md.),
Pacific (Ore.) and perhaps Hendrix (Ark.) are not far behind.
Future moves to keep tabs on: Salisbury and Frostburg State to the
Empire 8 in 2010, Huntingdon and LaGrange moving from the SLIAC to
independent this season, and Earlham discussing a move from the
NCAC.
The conference you were preparing to get to know as the North
Atlantic/NAC joins the fray as the ECFC (East Coast Football
Conference). Its eight members are Anna Maria, Becker, Castleton
State, Gallaudet, Husson, Mount Ida, Norwich and SUNY-Maritime. The
name change puts it in line for an automatic bid in 2011.
The SLIAC closed up shop one season after bringing football back,
thanks to Blackburn and Principia’s decisions. The UMAC,
which had dropped to five teams last year, takes on some of the
ex-SLIAC members, three of which were members of the now-defunct
IBFC in 2007. Second-year St. Scholastica, Crown, Martin Luther,
Northwestern (Minn.) and Minn.-Morris are joined by Eureka,
Greenville, MacMurray and Westminster (Mo.).
All the movement leaves us with 237 football-playing Division III
schools, though the number is still more than 420 for basketball.
You’ll occasionally see us use the number 238, which includes
Newport News Apprentice, a non-Division III member that plays in
the ACFC, a conference we cover. Teams whose programs are in
transition from another division or have just started, and the
NESCAC, are not playoff eligible.
Gordon Mann handled this all in Kickoff, in a much more in-depth
fashion. Look, we understand the economy’s tight and
everything, but we’re still doing what we do best.
There’s enough in Kickoff ’09 to keep you reading well
into the season.
And if you’ve already had your fill of Kickoff and still
can’t wait for your team to kick off this weekend, you can
always revisit ATN’s ’08-in-review columns, here
and here,
so you can pick up exactly where we left off.
It’s hard enough getting to know your own team and its 237
brethren here at D3football.com. So what to do when you see
something unfamiliar – a Southwest Assemblies of God, an
Azusa Pacific or Haskell Indian Nations on your team’s
schedule? What if you just need to know the difference between
Dakota State and North Dakota State? (big one, by the way)
ATN keeps you abreast of all the out-of-classification action
throughout the year, which is especially prevalent in the Midwest
and South before conference play begins. As a bonus, ATN keeps
track of how Division III does against Division I-FCS (still better
known as I-AA), Division II and NAIA.
vs. Division I, FCS (4-5 in 2008)
Albion at Butler (non-scholarship Pioneer League)
Methodist at Campbell (non-scholarship Pioneer League)
vs. Division II (4-6 in 2008)
Curry at Bentley (Northeast-10)
Assumption (Northeast-10) at Worcester State
Plymouth State at St. Anselm (Northeast-10)
Pace (Northeast-10) at Salisbury
Sul Ross State at Western New Mexico (Rocky Mountain Athletic
Conference)
vs. NAIA (30-14 in 2008)
No. 2 UW-Whitewater at Dickinson State (Dakota Athletic
Conference)
Bethel, Tenn. (Mid-South Conference) at UW-Eau Claire
Anderson at Taylor (Mid-States Football Association)
Newport News at Malone (Mid-States Football Association)
Southwestern Assemblies (independent) at Austin
Bacone (Mid-South Conference) at Louisiana College
Also:
Minn. Morris at Trinity Bible (S.D.)
The Around
the Region columns took a look at big games coming up this
season. We’ll take a brief look at the ones with national
implications in Week 1:
No. 20 Christopher Newport at No. 9 Wesley: A
tropical storm wiped out last year’s planned clash. This year
it resurfaces as Week 1’s only matchup of top 25 teams.
No. 1 Mount Union at St. John Fisher: Could the
mighty Purple Raiders stumble in the opener? Since their
much-talked-about playoff clash in 2006, Mount Union has beaten the
Cardinals 52-10 and 33-3.
No. 4 North Central at Ohio Northern: We’ll
find out quickly if the Cardinals deserve such a lofty ranking. A
loss here sent last year’s Polar Bears to an 0-4 start,
before a strong finish got them to .500.
Whitworth at No. 5 Hardin-Simmons: Being on
Division III’s Northwest and Texas islands (This map
and post
get outdated, but never old) force coaches to do some crazy things,
like schedule a team that could knock yours silly in the opener.
Probably the most talent on any Division III field this
weekend.
No. 8 Willamette at Concordia-Moorhead: See above
note about islands. Oregon to Minnesota is a fun little road trip,
but then again, it’s a haul from anywhere to Moorhead. This
could go by quickly, as it matches up two of Division III’s
most creative (and effective) ground attacks.
No. 19 Franklin at Baldwin-Wallace: It could be a
short stay in the top 25 for the Grizzlies, who begin the post-Chad
Rupp era with a team expected to nip at Mount Union’s heels
in the OAC. The turf might no longer be a nightmare, but Finnie
Stadium in Berea still doesn’t seem like an inviting venue
for visitors.
Thomas More at John Carroll: Blue Streaks are
fourth OAC team to face a 2008 playoff team in their opener. OAC
could go 4-0, especially with all but Mount Union hosting.
Millsaps at Mississippi College: Backyard Brawl
QBs will be the focus, as Majors’ Chris Graves steps in for
graduated Juan Joseph, and Choctaws’ Adam Shaffer returns
from injury.
UW-Oshkosh at Ripon: Red Hawks nearly scored a
big upset for the MWC last season, but Titans’ Nick Craft
stopped Tygh Walters on a two-point conversion run with 44 seconds
left to preserve the victory. If Ripon came that close on the road,
will playing at home make a difference?
UW-La Crosse at East Texas Baptist: Looks good on
the surface, but last time Eagles went to Texas, in the ’07
opener, they whooped Hardin-Simmons, 47-21. Tigers are doing a nice
job expanding their national presence, but would like to fare
better than they did in a 29-15 loss at St. John’s in last
season’s first game.
Johns Hopkins at Delaware Valley: A lot of talk
about the Blue Jays winning the Centennial and the Aggies the MAC,
and a solid non-conference win would be a confidence-booster for
either.
Guilford at Greensboro: Soup Bowl won’t be
under the lights this year, but could still shine a little as Week
1’s second rivalry game. With six wins between the Quakers
and Pride last season and prospects again dim, each side needs this
one badly.
Anna Maria at Castleton State: One New England
school will start its program off on the right foot. That’s
pretty convenient.
For more on this week’s games, see Friday morning’s Triple
Take, featuring three D3football.com staffers’ thoughts,
on our blog, The
Daily Dose.
Although today marks the season’s first three kickoffs
(and if I understand the latest on the Indiana Time Zone, Trine at
Manchester and Anderson at Taylor kick at the same 7 p.m. as Mass.
Maritime at SUNY-Maritime), some of you will still wait until
Saturday, or even Week 2, to see your team play.
Before the first kickoff, most of the good stuff is still inside
Kickoff,
our still-available preview edition. If you're a first-time reader,
welcome. ATN's function is important to Division III; without
national television broadcasts in the regular season, this is where
we'll take everything happening between New England and Southern
California, from the Pacific Northwest to the Deep South and make
sense of it.
First-timers and long-timers should each find plenty to enjoy in
this season's columns, which are posted weekly, on Thursdays,
through the 11-week regular season and appearing in a couple of
installments after the Stagg Bowl to revisit and wrap things
up.
ATN highlights issues of national significance: occurrences,
trends, specific teams, streaks, polls and the like. Another aim is
to start a dialogue, something not easy to do in such a giant,
geographically-fragmented division. The 238 teams we cover are an
interesting lot, from larger state schools to highly respected
small privates, coast to coast. We all play football, for the love
of the game, but sometimes it seems that's all we have in common.
With so many to keep an eye on, we'll spend the season traveling,
watching games, talking to players and coaches, crunching numbers
and sparking conversation about Division III football. The national
discussion involves you and your favorite team, so please join
in.
Follow Around the Nation …
When the column publishes on Thursdays
When ATN travels on Saturdays, trip highlights are blogged on The
Daily Dose.
Mondays, Pat Coleman and I wrap up the week that was in our
podcast. Download from iTunes or listen to it in the Daily
Dose’s media player.
Throughout the week on Twitter. This is ATN’s first season
tweeting. Follow @D3Keith.
Further discussions raised here on Around the Nation’s Post
Patterns thread, at the top of the General Football board.
Readers: Around the Nation encourages your opinions on the column,
the top 25, moments to remember for the year-in-review (yes,
already) and whatever else crosses your mind. Readers can best get
a response by posting on Around the Nation's running thread on Post
Patterns (under general football). Send e-mail to
Keith@D3football.com or use our feedback form.
Already this season, we’re seeking your feedback on Ten Best
(top 10 of the past 10 seasons), best road trip suggestions for
October and November (ATN especially likes non-Saturday afternoon
kickoffs that can be paired with a game at a traditional time) and
suggestions for Division III T-shirt designs.
Sports Information Directors: To contact Keith McMillan, use
Keith@D3football.com, or mail to D3football.com, 13055 Carolyn
Forest Dr., Woodbridge, Va., 22192.