Mount Union, Rowan and St. John’s in the regional finals? Say
it ain’t so.
Although they’ve done it this season in three
different manners – near-perfection, just-enough-to-win and
resilient road warriors – the Purple Raiders, Profs and
Johnnies are back where they almost always are: The Division III
quarterfinals.
We pencil Mount Union in through the quarters at the start
of the season. Albion last eliminated the Purple Raiders in the
quarterfinals on the way to the 1994 title. The last time they
weren’t in a quarterfinal was 1991, which is also the last
time Mount Union missed the playoffs altogether. Dayton (now I-AA),
Mass.-Lowell (now disbanded, after a stint in Division II) and
Glassboro State (now named Rowan) were each in the 16-team field
that year.
The Profs and Johnnies have taken the roads less traveled to
make the quarterfinals this season. The Profs, whose fans still
refer to them as “Beasts of the East,” have won by
double digits in only three of their nine wins, and were humbled
Oct. 28 in an overtime loss at Montclair State. Rowan needed an
overtime victory against Cortland State the following week, as well
as the decisive 38-7 Friday night win against William Paterson,
which beat Rowan in 2005, to clinch the NJAC title and automatic
bid.
In the first round of the playoffs, the Profs trailed Hobart
by a point before a field goal with 9 seconds left gave them a
20-18 home win. Last Saturday at Wilkes, a botched PAT had Rowan
down 14-13 before the Colonels fumbled an exchange at their own 22
with 2:26 left. The Profs recovered and went on to win
21-14.
“For those who have followed us this year, this was
par for the course,” coach Jay Accorsi told the press,
including Today’s Sunbeam of
Salem, N.J., after the Wilkes game. “We’ve played
football like this all year long, making it all too
exciting.”
The Profs, who benefited from two missed field goals each by
Hobart and Wilkes, are both lucky and good. Even with top-notch
Mike Orihel at quarterback, there have been offensive struggles.
The defense, both powerful and opportunistic, has been their
rock.
The Johnnies were rocked in a Week 11 loss to rival Bethel
that pushed them to the brink of the playoff picture. The selection
committee let them in, a week after they were ranked No. 3 in the
nation, with a No. 7 seed in their bracket. But instead of letting
a once-promising season go to waste, St. John’s has played
like anything but a seventh seed, handling then-unbeaten Central in
the first round and making one of the playoffs’ longest road
trips to beat Whitworth convincingly, 21-3 in Spokane,
Wash.
Saturday marked the Johnnies 37th postseason win under
legendary coach John Gagliardi. (As a matter of fact, we do have to
preface every mention of him with “legendary coach.”)
This is the Johnnies’ 15th playoff appearance in the past 22
seasons.
The Johnnies, who have waited more than a year to atone for
a turnover-plagued 34-7 loss to UW-Whitewater in the second round,
finally get their rematch.
Best quarterfinals
ever?
After the big three, no other team alive is making more than
their second quarterfinal appearance since the playoffs expanded
from 16 to 28 teams in 1999. The three other teams we’re most
used to seeing in this spot -- Linfield, Bridgewater (Va.) and
Trinity (Texas) -- didn’t even make this year’s 32-team
field.
Quarterfinal appearances since 1999 (the automatic
bid/expansion era):
Mount Union, eight (7-0 in quarterfinal games)
St. John’s, six (4-1)
Rowan, five (4-0)
Bridgewater, four (2-2)
Linfield, four (1-3)
Trinity, three (2-1)
Capital, two (0-1)
Delaware Valley, two (0-2)
Hardin-Simmons, two (1-1)
Ithaca, two (0-2)
Mary Hardin-Baylor, two (1-0)
Pacific Lutheran, two (1-1)
UW-Whitewater, two (1-0)
Wesley, two (1-0)
Widener, two (1-1)
Wittenberg, two (0-2)
Brockport State, one (0-1)
Carthage, one (0-1)
Central, one (0-1)
John Carroll, one (1-0)
Lycoming, one (0-1)
Montclair State, one (0-1)
Occidental, one (0-1)
Ohio Northern, one (0-1)
RPI, one (1-0)
Springfield, one (0-1)
St. John Fisher, one (0-0)
Wabash, one (0-1)
Washington & Jefferson, one (0-1)
Wheaton, one (0-1)
I don’t know if we’ve ever had a group of
quarterfinals this good to be excited about. Not only could four
competitive games on Saturday be very possible, but one can also
see any of the eight teams left winning this week, if not in
Salem.
The last time we could say that was, well, never. In every
expanded-era season, there’s been one 25-point-or-more margin
of victory in the quarterfinals. Although that is often Mount
Union’s doing, there are the years, such as 2004, when the
quarterfinal margins were 18, 29, 36 and 49. In fact, of the 28
expanded-era quarterfinal results (this is the eighth season of
playoffs with the automatic bid system and more than 16 teams), 12
were decided by a touchdown (seven points) or less, while 13 were
decided by 25 points or more. Just three results fell
between.
The average margin of all quarterfinal games is 19.5 points,
but I’d be surprised if we see more than one of those this
weekend (In ’02, ’03 and ’05, by the way, three
quarterfinal games each were decided by a TD or less).
Let’s take an in-depth look at all four
games.
East: No. 4 Rowan at No. 3 St. John Fisher, Pittsford,
N.Y., noon ET
Key storyline: Profs’ run defense vs.
Cardinals’ running game
The conflict shouldn’t take too long to find in this
one.
The Profs have been one of the nation’s best defenses
all season. They allow 192 yards per game, and just 47 against the
run.
The Cardinals rush for 240 yards per game, including 113 per
from star running back Mark Robinson. Together with James Reile,
St. John Fisher’s top two tailbacks have combined for more
than 2,100 rushing yards.
Ranked ninth in total offense, the Cardinals score 40 points
per game. Rowan allows 13.
Sure, St. John Fisher has a nice defense too. And
they’re at home, after each team won a tight game last
weekend on the road after winning at home in Round 1.
The big difference for the Cardinals in beating Springfield,
which topped St. John Fisher 55-38 in the regular season? Pride
quarterback Chris Sharpe was limited to 69 yards, including 28 the
first time he ran. In the Oct. 21 game, Sharpe commanded the
Springfield option attack and ran for 280 yards and seven
TDs.
Coach Paul Vosburgh told the Rochester
Democrat and Chronicle that the Cardinals tackled
better, and had three defensive starters play that hadn’t
played in the first Springfield game.
Rowan’s key to winning? Being resilient. Some might
call it lucky, but you have to be in the game to take advantage of
lucky breaks. Last week, the Profs were nearly finished after their
game-tying TD didn’t tie the game at all. The snap was
imperfect and the holder’s two-point conversion pass fell
incomplete.
Up 14-13, Wilkes fumbled the first-down exchange.
“I actually felt sorry for their center and
quarterback, to have the game on the line with a chance to run out
the clock and make a mistake like that,” Orihel told the
Sunbeam. “Once again, the defense bailed us out. They came up
huge like they have all year.”
That’s true. Two teams have gone over 20 points
against Rowan, and both won. With a young, still-developing
offense, the Profs defense takes the pressure off. Rowan has rarely
scored more than three TDs in a game this season, but they
haven’t had to.
Only two opponents have stayed within 20 points of Fisher
– Springfield, of course, did it twice.
There are loads of other things to factor
Pick: The numbers say take St. John
Fisher. But Rowan’s nearly dumbfounding knack for winning,
even if they haven’t played all that well, is harder to
ignore. Profs 23, Cardinals 21
West: No. 7 St. John’s at No. 1 UW-Whitewater,
Whitewater, Wis., 1 p.m. ET
Key storyline: The Johnnies want to play
better than they did in an eight-turnover, 34-7 loss in last
year’s second round.
Make no mistake about it. St. John’s doesn’t
think it’s 27 points worse than UW-Whitewater. And even
though last year is a long time ago, that playoff loss is still on
the Johnnies’ minds.
“They knocked us out last year,” quarterback
Alex Kofoed told the
(Spokane) Spokesman-Review after
the Whitworth game. “We’ve got a little vendetta
against them.”
“We’re ready for it,” running back Craig
Luberts told Frank Rajkowski, the St. Cloud
Times’ Johnnies beat writer.
“We’re going down there to try and get some
revenge.”
Whitewater was buoyed by star running back Justin
Beaver’s return. His 227 yards helped the Warhawks edge UW-La
Crosse in a rematch much tighter than the first meeting.
The Eagles’ familiarity with the Warhawks probably
helped in the game plan. So can the Johnnies do the same thing,
using last year’s tape? Were those eight fumbles –
seven lost, plus one interception – more fluke than
Whitewater’s doing? Will the Johnnies be cautious in their
offensive game plan because of last season? Weather wasn’t
the problem in that game, but it could be Saturday, especially
because Whitewater is the last grass field in play this weekend. In
fact, the Warhawks are the only quarterfinalist that plays home
games on grass, which is what the Stagg Bowl is played on, instead
of turf.
Pick: I wonder if the Johnnies have
tapped out their talent by getting this far. They are no doubt
deserving, twice beating undefeated teams on the road so far. They
have the motivation to prove last year’s meeting wasn’t
representative of Johnnie football. But the offensive dominance
hasn’t been there (just over 18 points per game vs. past
three opponents) against top teams. When you have to match scores
with a multi-talented Whitewater offense, now complete with a
healthy Justin Beaver, it would take a mammoth effort from the
Johnnies D to pull the upset. UW-Whitewater 28, St. John’s
17
South: No. 2 Mary Hardin-Baylor at No. 1 Wesley, Dover,
Del., noon ET
The history here also goes back to last season, when UMHB
turnovers helped Wesley build a 30-14 lead in a 46-36 second-round
win.
But Wesley’s maintained their explosive offense even
though personnel at running back and receiver is different than the
last time they played the Crusaders. Though neither Larry Beavers
nor Marcus Lee graduated, they aren’t with the team. Michael
Clarke, a 5-7, 160 senior, and Chris Schatz, a 6-3, 230-pound
backup quarterback, have filled in at wideout.
Five Wolverines running backs get carries, and the top three
average more than six yards per rush. Freshman tailback Aaron
Jackson (1,055 yards) leads the way and 5-8, 202 Jeremy Robinson
(13 TDs) finds the end zone. Senior Alpha Koroma started in the
second-round win against Carnegie Mellon and scored on a 59-yard
run.
Electric QB Chris Warrick (30 TDs, six INTs), powerful
defensive lineman Bryan Robinson (27.5 tackles for losses,
including 11.5 sacks) and defensive back Mario Harris are all back
for the 12-0 Wolverines, who have only been tested once, in a 13-10
win at Salisbury on Oct. 28. That was also the last time Wesley was
on the road.
But that might actually be where Mary Hardin-Baylor has an
advantage. The Crusaders have done the long road trip already, in
the season opener 1,500 miles from home at Christopher Newport, so
they shouldn’t be fazed. But they have tested themselves
more, with five games against playoff teams, including three in the
regular season. It’s hard to look past the Cru’s 7-3
loss against UW-Whitewater Oct. 28 and not think UMHB is right
there with the nation’s best if they play that well again.
Wesley, in last season’s semifinals, lost 58-6 to
Whitewater.
So before I wonder how the Crusaders offensive line will
handle Robinson, for example, I know they already have experience
adjusting to Whitewater’s Ryan Kleppe, who dominated the
first quarter of the October game before the line began to double-
and even triple-team him.
Both teams play on turf and are built for it, so they should
be able to negate each other’s speed advantage. Mary
Hardin-Baylor is fast to the ball on defense and tackled well
against Whitewater.
Last week, UMHB led Washington and Jefferson 27-7 before the
Presidents made it close (30-27) at the end.
The Cru rushes for 236 yards per game, and nearly has two
1,000-yard backs in starter Jarvis Thrasher and bruiser Freddie
Rollins. But that doesn't begin to tell their ball-control story.
They rushed for 381 yards against W&J, and tried just three
passes. They've completed just five in the postseason, athough
coach Pete Fredenburg acknowledges they must pass more the deeper
they go in the playoffs.
The Crusaders are solid on special teams (55-yard FG last
week, seven blocked kicks this year) as well.
Both teams were well over 400 yards of offense against each
other last season, but with UMHB being more hit-or-miss on offense
this year, they probably won’t want to get into another
shootout. Beavers, the receiver who missed the year because of an
academic issue, had four TDs against UMHB last season, including
three of 50 yards or longer.
Still, Wesley coach Mike Drass told
the Temple Daily Telegram that the
Wolverines are a better team this year, but won’t surprise
the Crusaders or anyone else like they did last
postseason.
Pick: Here’s another game, like
Rowan-St. John Fisher, where the numbers and home-field advantage
point to one team, but the gut feeling goes toward the other.
Wesley won at UMHB last year and is at home this year, but the
Crusaders seem to have been built to handle these big games. The
revenge factor doesn’t seem as strong as it does for St.
John’s. It might be one of those games where we wonder how
the Cru won, but I wouldn’t be surprised if they
do.
UMHB 29, Wesley 28
North: No. 2 Capital at No. 1 Mount Union, Alliance, Ohio,
noon ET
Key storyline: Like the last two
quarterfinals mentioned, this is a rematch of a playoff game from
last season. And while that was an epic, this season’s
meeting was all Purple Raiders. These teams know each other all too
well, and their coaches spent much of Tuesday’s
teleconferences praising each other’s players.
“Rocky’s been on fire lately,” said Mount
Union’s Larry Kehres of Capital quarterback Rocky Pentello.
“He throws the ball so quickly, tight and on target.
He’s hard to prepare for because it’s hard to get
anyone to simulate him in practice.”
Saturday’s game will be Pentello’s sixth against
the Purple Raiders. But Crusaders coach Jim Collins points out that
Purple Raiders defensive end Justen Stickley “has been a
thorn in our side every time.”
Collins thinks Mount Union being so solid on the lines is
the foundation of their consistency. It might mean his defensive
backs have to come up and make tackles, but he has one of the
nation’s best safeties in Kyle Hausler.
Receiver Pierre Garcon “is as good as it gets”
in Division III, says Collins, and running back Nate Kmic has done
a good job of breaking tackles this season. Mount Union’s
offense won’t be stopped, he said. Containing it is a
reachable goal.
“We’ve either got to do a great job of defeating
blockers or be great tacklers,” Collins said.
“You’ve either got to get more people to (Kmic), or you
have to be great tacklers.”
Kehres said the Purple Raiders tilted their coverages toward
receiver Derick Alexander in the first meeting, and Mike
Niedzwiecki (seven catches, 134 yards, TD) made them pay. Collins
hopes that performance keeps either receiver from being
double-teamed on Saturday.
He also said Pentello hits his hot reads too well for Mount
Union to rely on blitzing to get pressure.
“You can’t over-blitz this quarterback,”
Kehres said. “He’s too good.”
Each team has a X-factor, in Mount Union’s No. 2
quarterback Greg Micheli, a better runner than starter Mike Jorris,
and Capital’s Charlie Smith, a senior running back
who’s waited his turn. Smith’s hit his stride, rushing
for 100 yards in three of his four starts.
The weather was a factor in the first game – “I
think all four seasons hit in that last game we played,”
Collins joked, although he was certain to say that his team was
outplayed and the weather was no excuse. Still, Capital passes more
often (366 runs, 402 passes this season) than Mount Union (502
runs, 275 passes).
Pick: “Mount Union seems like a
team that doesn’t have any weaknesses,” Collins said.
“Usually vs. most teams you can find some weaknesses to
pinpoint and attack.”
Even Collins knows it’ll take pretty much a perfect
effort to win. Mount Union 35, Capital 23.
Mount Union rematches in
playoffs vs. OAC opponent
A prevailing thought in Ohio regarding the Purple Raiders is
you have to beat them on the first try. Larry Kehres and staff
don’t often fumble their second chance. In 1997, Mount Union
beat John Carroll 42-14 in the regular season and 57-9 in the
quarterfinals. Here’s how other teams who played the Purple
Raiders twice fared:
1999: vs. Ohio Northern: Won 56-24 in regular season, 56-31
in quarterfinals
2000: vs. Ohio Northern: Won 48-24 in regular season, 59-28
in second round
2002: vs. John Carroll: Won 35-16 in regular season, 57-19
in semifinals
2005: vs. Capital: Won 42-24 in regular season, 34-31 in
quarterfinals
2006: vs. Capital: Won 38-12 in regular season
Around the Nation
thread
Keep an eye on that Post Patterns thread for tidbits and
things that don’t fit anywhere else throughout the
playoffs.
Season in
review
Around the Nation will begin
accepting brief suggestions from
readers (and players, coaches and school-affiliated professionals)
for our 2006 Year-in-Review, due out in January 2007. Use last
year’s review (linked at the top right-hand corner, posted
Jan. 25, 26 and 27) as a guide for which categories we’re
looking to fill, or make up your own. ATN cannot promise public
credit for your suggestions this year, and we may or may not use
them.
But if you think Kean was the surprise team of ’06 or
Luther was the biggest disappointment, let us know (contact
information, as always, is below). We’d like to hear your
games of the year, plays of the year, players, coaches and things,
but most importantly, your off-the-beaten path nominations and
suggestions. Things we haven’t covered much or would have no
way of knowing about are where you can help most.
Feedback
Around the Nation is largely interactive, and since its
inception has made reader feedback a part of the column. We
keep a running
board on Post Patterns (under general football) to
discuss issues raised in the column, and we’ll share feedback
and answer questions there, as well as in the column occasionally.
Send correspondence to keith@d3football.com, or
use our feedback
form.
What the eyes can
see
Around the Nation is searching for video of playoff teams in
order to help us handicap the field. Anyone with access to footage,
please send an e-mail to keith@d3football.com for
more information. Games against tough opponents, especially other
playoff teams, are preferred.
We are always looking for video of anything Division III
football-related. That means we’d like to get our hands on
documentaries, local cable broadcasts and re-airs, links to
archived broadcasts and coaches’ tapes. Arrangements can be
made to not share coaches’ footage or to pay fans for
shipping and materials.
For print, radio and
Internet journalists
Keith McMillan is available, by appointment, on Thursdays
and Fridays to talk Division III football. For more information,
e-mail Keith.
Attention
SIDs
As always, Around the Nation requests media guides and any
other aids in helping us cover your school or conference this
season. For more information, contact Keith McMillan at
keith@d3football.com, or snail mail to D3football.com, 13055
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at info@d3football.com. Thank
you.
The familiar faces are just that
Nov 30, 2006