If you’ll allow me to kick aside the whole
“Empire State” thing for a moment and borrow from
Missouri, I’ve got a fresh state motto for New York, for
Saturday only.
The Showdown State.
It might not end up on a license plate, but it’s
fitting for a Saturday afternoon sure to have an impact on the
D3football.com Top 25. Six New York teams are ranked, including
Nos. 22-25.
Four Upstate games — two Liberty League and two Empire
8 clashes — impact the national landscape:
No. 11 Ithaca at No. 25 St. John Fisher
No. 19 Hobart at No. 24 RPI
Rochester at No. 23 Union
Alfred at Springfield (both are receiving a similar number of
votes in the poll)
And that’s a week after Cortland State of the New
Jersey Athletic Conference moved up to No. 22 by knocking off
Brockport State of the Atlantic Central Football Conference
17-10.
“It’s tough to say (if we’ve ever had a
Saturday like this before),” says Empire 8 commissioner Chuck
Mitrano. “This year our region is more on the radar than it
has been. In the past, there have been a number of big
weekends.”
Photo by Pat Coleman, D3football.com |
There were also three-way races in the Liberty and Empire
8 that stretched into November. But we may not get that far this
season, with so many contenders meeting this early.
While certain Division III fans scoff at the East Region,
last year’s playoff performances put the Liberty’s
Hobart and Union in Rowan’s class, and Cortland had hung with
their conference rivals during the season. In the national
semifinals, the Profs went to Mount Union and played the eventual
champions well.
Perhaps then this weekend’s games could be more than
the first strikes at conference titles and automatic
bids.
The weekend definitely brings together a state Division III
scene that was previously jumbled, despite having more programs
(now 17) than all but five states. As recently as 2003, teams were
scattered across several conferences, with five in the Upstate
Collegiate Athletic Association, five in the Empire 8 and others
independent.
In 2004, the Empire 8 accepted Springfield and Norwich from
the folding Freedom Football Conference and became a full-fledged
automatic qualifier conference, although it still had (and has) one
football team fewer than its name suggests. The UCAA became the
Liberty League, adding Coast Guard, Merchant Marine (formerly Kings
Point) and Worcester Polytech from the Freedom Football Conference,
and Brockport State joined the ACFC. Rochester, a member of the UAA
in other sports, preserves local football rivalries by playing in
the Liberty League.
If that’s enough to thoroughly confuse you,
here’s all you need to know. The Empire 8 and Liberty are
each looking at four contenders right now, and they’re all
going head-to-head.
Ithaca and St. John Fisher have played overtime games the
past two seasons and were separated by a point in 2003. The
Cardinals have outscored opponents 115-10 in their 3-0 start,
including a 30-10 Courage Bowl win over Rochester. The Bombers are
averaging 40 points and surrendering 11 in three wins, including a
31-12 win over South Region challenger Huntingdon, but make their
first road trip this weekend.
This doesn’t appear to be the de facto Empire 8 title
game though.
Springfield, with a 38-30 win against then-No. 11 Union, and
Alfred, in a 14-0 defeat of Thiel, which started the season ranked
25th, each opened eyes in a season-opening upset. The Pride
followed with a two-touchdown victory against Montclair State and
Alfred, after a 17-14 win against St. Lawrence, is also 2-0. Their
clash at Springfield, the first of four home games to start the
Pride’s year, and technically a game not in New York, will
send a second team to the top of the E8.
“It’s clearly very exciting,” Mitrano said
of the prospect of having four or more contenders. “Every
week is going to present one or two competitive games, even outside
the perceived top four.”
“It's hard to tell (how good the E8 will be this
year),” Bombers coach Mike Welch told
the Ithaca Journal. “But
Springfield beating Union tells you something … With Alfred
beating Thiel, who was a playoff team, and Fisher’s racking
up wins, shutting people out and scoring a lot of points, so yeah,
it's as good as it’s been.”
With a win Saturday, Alfred should like its chances. It
closes with three home games, a non-conference clash with Hobart
and Empire 8 games against Ithaca (Nov. 4) and St. John Fisher
(Nov. 11). Other key dates, should the four contenders remain the
same, are Springfield at St. John Fisher Oct. 21 and Springfield at
Ithaca Oct. 28.
The Liberty League, considered not as strong as the Empire 8
until Hobart and Union each lost by a touchdown in last
year’s playoff second round while the E8 got only Ithaca (a
55-41 first-round loser to Union) in, is back behind the Empire 8
again after the Rochester and Union losses. But on Saturday it does
match two unbeaten contenders, Hobart and RPI, who combined for 17
wins last season.
The Engineers of Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute (for those
interested in lengthy official titles) were a chic preseason pick
because they brought back 18 starters, including all 11 on offense.
They scored 27 and 34 in their first two wins, but will need more
if the Hobart game follows the 2005 path. RPI rallied from down
24-0 to force overtimes, but lost 56-48 in the third, as the game
featured more than 1,000 yards of offense and two quarterbacks who
threw five TD passes.
Rochester is coming off a 10 TD-pass, 1,000-yards-combined
game with Gettysburg. The 54-42 victory is not the
Yellowjackets’ only win; they also beat 2005 playoff team
Johns Hopkins in their opener. Rochester’s visit to Union
could be key as Liberty League conference play begins, but five of
the league’s seven teams have winning records and all are
.500 or better out of the gate.
It’s early still, but the chase for playoff berths
— perhaps more than one per league — is on.
“If you can get two teams in, that’s
great,” Mitrano said. “But the more important thing is
that the teams represent the conference appropriately, both on and
off the field.”
> The Empire 8 is encouraging the support of Alfred
running back Julio Fuentes, who suffered a serious neck injury
blocking on a kickoff return against Thiel. Alfred University has
set up a trust fund for Fuentes’ recovery. For more
information, visit the Empire 8 Web
site or the D3football.com Notables page.
Poll
positions
The American Football Coaches Association released its first
poll this week, and it looked similar to the D3football.com poll.
Twenty-one teams are ranked in both polls.
The major differences were No. 22 Cortland State ranked 12th
by the AFCA, No. 21 Wheaton ranked 13th and No. 25 St. John Fisher
ranked 18th. Linfield, 0-2 but still D3football.com’s
18th-ranked team, was unranked and the seventh team receiving
votes, or the equivalent of No. 32, by the AFCA.
The AFCA ranked Mt. St. Joseph (No. 20), Wartburg (No. 22),
Trinity (Texas) (No. 24) and Christopher Newport (No. 25), all of
whom were receiving votes in the D3football.com poll. AFCA unranked
Delaware Valley, Union and RPI were ranked by D3football.com Nos.
20, 23 and 24.
Oddly, IIAC conference foes Central and Coe are ranked 14th
and 15th by D3football.com, and were reversed but in the same spots
by the AFCA.
Wildcats
worthy?
There’s been some discussion in the Daily Dose about
dropping 0-2 Linfield out of the Top 25. There is justification for
the Wildcats to stay ranked, based on who their two losses this
season have come against, which makes them different than a
good-but-still-0-2 team like Ferrum.
Linfield’s loss to Western Oregon tells us next to
nothing about how they match up against Division III. The loss to
Hardin-Simmons, now ranked sixth, doesn’t tell us much about
how they stack up against the other 227 teams seventh and
below.
Voters must use other factors, like starters returning from a
team that went deep into the playoffs, traditional conference
strength and performance within that conference, early in the
season when other more current data is missing.
I have Linfield in the top 25 still; I’m not foolish
enough to think a team that has beaten two or three teams that
haven’t played anyone close to Hardin-Simmons’ strength
is automatically better than Linfield.
However, they are in the 20s. I am ranking them off what they
have done so far. By the same token, I have Whitworth several spots
ahead of Linfield, which bugs me, because last time they played,
it’s wasn’t a very close game. Whitworth has beaten two
good opponents, but neither the strength of either that Linfield
has played.
It could turn out that Linfield is not a top 25 team at all,
but it would take more information than we know now to ascertain
that.
Comparing the Wildcats to Ferrum: If staying close to No. 8
Bridgewater was their only result, then we could say Ferrum is
about the same strength. I often use close losses (which generally
could have gone either way) as a measuring stick. Many teams help
themselves by how they perform in losses, in my mind.
But Ferrum’s two-TD loss to Guilford kind of nullifies
whatever the Bridgewater game tells us about them; in fact, it
might say more about Bridgewater not being the country’s
eighth-best team.
Others have wondered why No. 13 Mary Hardin-Baylor is ranked
ahead of a team it lost to in Christopher Newport. I don’t
have it that way on my ballot.
The Captains have a bad loss to No. 3 Rowan, but then came
back and beat then-No. 6 UMHB. Even though it was probably just as
close as the Ferrum-Bridgewater game, since it was decided on the
goal line in the final minute, we voters tend to give extra credit
for actually winning. CNU’s third result vs. Salisbury,
another close win, also helps.
I had CNU 25th to start the year, dropped them after the
Rowan loss, and have had them back in on my ballot, ahead of UMHB,
logically, for the past two weeks.
As for teams like St. Olaf and Cal Lutheran, getting blown
out by the playoff team(s) on the schedule but winning the rest of
their games kind of leaves them in that good-but-not-great grey
area. They really only get a chance to get into the top 25 when
they play those top teams again.
Another thing top 25 watchers must remember is that results
don’t necessarily follow a steady pattern. Sometimes things
just don’t add up, and a voter has to decide what he thinks
is real and what isn’t.
It is, by definition, an educated guess. As we get more
information, the polls are supposed to change. That’s good
news. It gives us plenty to argue about leading up the playoffs. If
the starting top 25 was the final top 25, we’d look real
smart but have just spent four months bored out of our
gourds.
Streak
watch
Trinity (Conn.) puts its 30-game streak on the line this week
against Colby (more on that in Five Games to Watch), while other
win streaks build toward double digits.
Division III’s longest win streaks:
Trinity (Conn.) (30 consecutive wins, last loss at Williams,
30-13, Sept. 28, 2002; 0-0 in 2006)
Mount Union (10 consecutive wins, last loss vs. Ohio
Northern, 21-14, Oct. 22, 2005; 2-0 in 2006)
St. Norbert (10 consecutive wins, last loss vs. Monmouth,
28-20, Sept. 17, 2005; 2-0 in 2006)
Cal Lutheran (9 consecutive wins, last loss at Occidental,
41-9, Sept. 24, 2005; 2-0 in 2006)
Howard Payne (8 consecutive wins, last loss at
Hardin-Simmons, 45-20, Oct. 1, 2005; 2-0 in 2006)
Lycoming (7 consecutive wins, last loss vs. Wilkes, Oct. 8,
2005; 2-0 in 2006)
Williams (6 consecutive wins, last loss at Trinity, Conn.
34-6, Oct. 1, 2005; 0-0 in 2006)
Chicago, Guilford, Mass-Dartmouth and Washington U. had
winning streaks stopped at six.
The longest active losing streaks:
Heidelberg (28 consecutive losses, last win vs. Marietta on
Oct. 4, 2003; 0-3 in 2006)
Juniata (15 consecutive losses, last win at Lycoming, 14-7,
Oct. 30, 2004; 0-3 in 2006)
Tri-State (12 consecutive losses, last win vs. Kalamazoo,
21-14, Nov. 13, 2004, 0-2 in 2006)
Wesleyan (10 consecutive losses, last win vs. Bowdoin, 25-21,
Oct. 30, 2004; 0-0 in 2006)
> Discuss other streaks (regular season, conference,
home/road) on Post Patterns’ Around the Nation
board.
Five games to
watch
Covered above: No. 11 Ithaca at No. 25 St. John Fisher, No.
19 Hobart at No. 24 RPI, Rochester at No. 23 Union, Alfred at
Springfield.
No. 2 UW-Whitewater at UW-Oshkosh — In Kickoff
’06, Titans linebacker Eric Steinbroten said “I feel we
have a good chance to win the WIAC.” Oshkosh’s chance
to do that starts with a visit from the reigning conference
champion and Stagg Bowl runner-up, unbeaten in three games.
Oshkosh’s lone loss came against a Division II scholarship
team. An upset would knock the Warhawks off their perch, but as
most upset-filled seasons go in the WIAC, there’d still be
plenty of time to get back into the championship race.
No. 4 St. John's at Concordia-Moorhead — The way the
Johnnies stole the win last year has to stick in the Cobbers’
craw, if Cobbers have craws. Anyway, it was an Alex Kofoed-to-Kyle
Gearman 74-yard TD pass in the final minute — last
year’s Around the Nation most memorable play — that
changed the course of both teams’ seasons, as the Johnnies
won 20-16. This time around, in the second consecutive meeting in
Moorhead, Concordia comes in off a 21-7 loss to Bethel. A win over
St. John’s is crucial in pursuit of a third consecutive
playoff berth, and would make the MIAC title race interesting.
Plus, revenge is sweet.
Texas Lutheran at No. 13 Mary Hardin-Baylor — After the
surprising losses each suffered, this could almost be wiped off the
key game board. But the losses are precisely why it’s still
one. The winner stays in the American Southwest automatic qualifier
hunt, with Howard Payne and Hardin-Simmons also figuring to be in
the mix. The loser must play flawless football the rest of the way
to preserve Pool C playoff hopes. Can you believe it? Week 4 and
we’re already dashing playoff plans.
Colby at Trinity (Conn.) — As NESCAC play gets
underway, the best two conference teams from a year ago (combined
15-1) meet right off the bat. While the Bantams debut new coach
Jeff Devanney and pursue their fifth conference title in a row,
only one of their 30 consecutive wins have come against the White
Mules. The teams haven’t met since the 2003 opener, a 30-6
Trinity win, but Colby has a better record than any other NESCAC
team in the two seasons they didn’t play Trinity (though
Amherst beat the White Mules both years). Trinity and Colby each
return 13 starters.
DePauw at Trinity (Texas) — The big story here is how
Hurricane Rita wiped out the 2005 clash of SCAC titans. The game
was never rescheduled. Trinity took the conference’s
automatic bid on overall winning percentage, as DePauw didn’t
lose an SCAC game but fell to Wesley and archrival Wabash. Adding
to the recent history: Trinity’s final-seconds TD pass to win
29-28 in the 2004 game. With yet another new DePauw head coach at
the controls, there’s no telling if the Tigers from Indiana
are a match for the ones from Texas.
> Upset special (2-1 after Montclair State lost to
Springfield 27-14) — Lycoming at No. 20 Delaware Valley.
There are at least two other D3football.com staffers who have
questions about this year’s Aggies and see a possible return
to prominence for the Warriors, longtime MAC, um, daddies. Neither
team has scored more than 20 or allowed more than 15, so expect
another low-scoring game. Although the Aggies need this one to stay
in the MAC hunt after the Wilkes loss, ATN is taking Lycoming in
the upset.
> Surprisingly good game (1-2 after Mississippi College
beat then-No. 21 Texas Lutheran 28-21) — Guilford at
Hampden-Sydney. The Tigers are the ODAC’s only winless team,
while the Quakers are the hot pick to challenge Bridgewater, or
they were until Averett hung 54 on them last Saturday. With two
weeks to prepare, and a year removed from having one of the top
offenses in the nation, the Tigers could put up similar numbers.
The Tigers won 47-45 in ’05, and it could be a nip/tuck game
again, although Guilford enters as the favorite this
time.
> Also keep an eye on — No. 6 Hardin-Simmons at
Louisiana College, No. 12 Ohio Northern at John Carroll, No. 17
Whitworth at UW-Stout, No. 21 Wheaton at Hope, Carroll at Monmouth,
Franklin & Marshall at Carnegie Mellon, Luther at
Wartburg.
Who
are those guys?
No. 2 UW-Whitewater scored a significant win last week
against NAIA No. 9 Azusa Pacific, 27-7. The Cougars could have
saved a few seats for this Saturday’s opponent, No. 9 UW-La
Crosse, on their plane ride back to Southern California. APU has a
chance to prove itself against another of Division III’s top
teams, while La Crosse heads west for a test most of the small
private schools in and around Wisconsin couldn’t give it.
Same goes for UW-River Falls this week, a middle-of-the-pack WIAC
team taking on St. Francis (Ind.), a team ranked second on CSTV.com
and by Victory Sports Network.
Also last week, The Sports Network mid-major No. 7 Drake beat
UW-Platteville 35-7. Ursinus’ 6-2 win over Division I-AA La
Salle was fodder for Saturday score jokes.
After losing its first eight games against Division II
competition, Wesley (49-13 vs. Seton Hill), Methodist (31-7 vs.
Chowan) and UW-Stout (36-34 vs. Upper Iowa) provided a Week 3 sweep
for Division III.
In Tuesday’s USA Today, the
three lowest ranked Division I teams in the Sagarin College
Football ratings (No. 239 La Salle, No. 240 St. Peter’s and
No. 241 Butler) have lost to Division III teams. Butler has played
two, losing its opener 31-10 to Albion and beating Hanover
30-20.
The Week 4 out-of-division lineup:
vs. Division I-AA (1-1 in Week 3, 5-4 in 2006)
No. 3 Rowan at Robert Morris
Western Connecticut at Iona
vs. Division II (3-0 in Week 2, 3-8 in 2006)
None
vs. NAIA (1-2 in Week 2, 11-6 in 2006)
UW-River Falls at VSN No. 2 St. Francis (Ind.)
UW-La Crosse at VSN No. 14 Azusa Pacific
UW-Stevens Point at Waldorf
Southern Virginia at Greensboro
Austin at Southwest Assemblies of God
Howard Payne at Paul Quinn
Press
coverage
Gordon Mann shares two links, one from
Wisconsin’s Appleton Post
Crescent and another from theBirmingham
News, which have interesting Division III football
content.
http://www.al.com/sports/birminghamnews/mperrin.ssf?/base/sports/11586574344680.xml&coll=2
http://www.postcrescent.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20060916/APC02/60916021/1892
On the other hand, Post Patterns vet Enginegro found
ESPN.com’s TMQ again bashing Mount Union and other Division
III schools for running up scores. Mount Union is referred to as
“year-in, year-out home of the worst sportsmanship in
Division III.”
I won’t address this at length,
as I’ve done it once before (ATN, Dec.
17, 2004) and it is also addressed on the Post Patterns Around the
Nation thread. The link to the full article is there
too.
However, I do think that using margin of victory as the sole
definition of sportsmanship is flawed, and I let TMQ’s
writer, Gregg Easterbrook, know in an e-mail yesterday. But I was a
really big, uh, jerk about it, so I might not hear back.
But don’t quote me
…
Quick observations from Week 3 and thoughts for Week
4:
> Last week’s No. 1 stunner: Alma 33, UW-Eau Claire
30 in overtime.
> Bethany, which won its second in a row, celebrated the
joy of the comeback while showing Ohio Wesleyan the agony of the
collapse. Which I, as a Philadelphia Eagles fan, witnessed
first-hand on Sunday. Gave me sick thoughts of Emory and
Henry/Randolph-Macon ’96. But I digress. More on Bethany on
our Post Patterns thread.
> Haven’t we about covered it all? Nope. Believe it
or not, the regular department My 26-35 is stuck on my laptop as
ATN hits its Thursday morning deadline. I’ll post that on the
Post Patterns thread and/or update the column Thursday afternoon or
early Friday.
TV
time
Reader Kinney Mitchell writes:
“What are the chances of selling (giving?) some D3
games to ESPN to use on their ESPN College? I think it would be a
lot more interesting to watch a D3 game I had not seen before than
a replay of a D1 game I saw a long time ago.”
ATN responds:
Kinney, I agree, although to my knowledge ESPN has never
shown any interest in televising any D3 game besides the
championship, although I think there were some rumblings about
someone doing the semifinals this year. We do have an ESPN employee
on staff, and he has been able to help get the network to follow
the occasional D3 story.
A better bet, though, might be CSTV, since they recently
picked up a Division II package (three live games, 40 on the
internet). CSTV.com also cares enough to try to run a D3 column,
and ESPN.com does not, to my knowledge, on its vast college
football section. I think their interest is limited. I really liked
Hidden Video back in the day, where on their Thursday night games
they showed crazy clips from small schools. I think they could also
have a D3 or small-school minute on their regular college show,
with a few highlights and a top 25 rundown, and it would garner
lots of interest from people like us, they may find it to be more
work than possible or necessary. As an audience, we may not be that
big or influential.
Internet video broadcasts have been explored and are a future
possibility for D3football.com.
ESPN cares about ratings and probably gets a better rating on
a Big Ten replay than a brand-new D3 game. Plus, it would be a lot
of extra work. Replaying something they’ve already done must
be easier.
But I think TV, even though it would be our competition,
really brings another dimension to being able to follow different
teams from around the country and gauge their strength, so I would
be in favor of anything any channel could do.
Question for next
week
Does Division III matter?
With this crowd, we sort of know the answer. But should it
get more mainstream coverage? Or would that ruin what people like
about it, the for-the-love-of-the-game, true sportsman, actual
student-athlete nature of it all? Is there a happy
medium?
Send feedback to be shared next week. Or, you can post it on
Post Patterns’ Around the Nation board and I’ll reprint
it from there. I’m confident there’s a wide range of
creative answers to this one.
Attention
SIDs
As always, Around the Nation requests media guides and any
other aids in helping us cover your school or conference this
season. We are also interested in seeing gam e tapes from schools
we aren't able to see in person. For more information, contact
Keith McMillan at keith@d3football.com, or
snail mail to D3football.com, 13055 Carolyn Forest Dr., Woodbridge,
Va., 22192.
Links to online media guides are now preferred over mail. In
addition, please do not add my e-mail address to your regular
release lists, but instead use our news release capabilities to
have your information posted on our front page and your team's
page. For more information on how that works and how we can help
each other, contact publisher and editor Pat Coleman
at info@d3football.com. Thank
you.